What is the RAISE ACT?

On April 10, Senators Tom Cotton (R-AR), David Perdue (R-NC), and Josh Hawley (R-MO) reintroduced the RAISE Act (S.1103, the Reforming American Immigration for Strong Employment Act), thie is a legislation that would:

1. Slash family-based visas. All family-based legal immigration other than spouses and minor children will be eliminated.

2. Introduce a merit-based points system. Visas will be approved or denied based on factors including English ability, advanced education, age and specific job skills. A person who accrued 30 points under the following allocation scheme would be eligible to submit an application.

3. Reduce refugee visas. The bill proposes a 50,000-visa cap, despite the ever-worsening global refugee crisis.

4. Eliminate the Diversity Visa Program. This will cut 50,000 annual visas for individuals from historically low-immigration countries, primarily in Africa and Asia.

The Points System


Age (10 points maximum) Point Allocation Formal Education (13 points maximum) Point Allocation English language proficiency (12 points maximum) Point Allocation
0-17 0 points U.S. or Foreign High School Degree 1 points 1st – 5th deciles 0 points
18-21 6 points Foreign bachelor's degree 5 points 6th – 7th deciles 6 points
22-25 8 points U.S. Bachelor's Degree 6 points 8th decile 10 points
26-30 10 points Foreign master's degree in Science, Technology, Engineering or Mathematics (STEM) 7 points 9th decile 11 points
31-35 8 points U.S. STEM Master's Degree 8 points 10th decile 12 points
36-40 6 points Foreign Professional Degree or Doctoral STEM 10 points
41-45 4 points U.S. Professional Degree or Doctoral STEM 13 points
46-50 2 points
51 and above 0 points
Extraordinary achievement (40 points maximum) Point Allocation Job offer/highly compensated employment (13 points maximum) Point Allocation Investment and active management of new enterprise (12 points maximum) Point Allocation
Nobel Laureate or comparable recognition 25 points Annual salary offered is at least 150% but less than 200% of the median household income in the state of employment 5 points Investment of at least $1.35 million but less than $1.8 million in a U.S. New Commercial Enterprise (NCE); maintain the investment for three years and play active role in managing the NCE as primary occupation 6 points
Individual Olympic medal or first place in a comparable international sporting event 15 points Annual salary offered is at least 200% but less than 300% of the median household income in the state of employment 8 points Investment of at least $1.8 million in a U.S. NCE; maintain the investment for three years and play active role in managing the NCE as primary occupation 12 points
Annual salary offered is at least 300% of the median household income in the state of employment 13 points

Number of immigrants in the US

There are a total of 40 millions immigrants in the US as of year 2019. Slightly more than 1 million immigrants are granted lawful permanent residence (informally known as getting a green card) annually; just over half are already in the United States and adjusting from temporary status.

 

            

Distribution of immigrants in the US by States

 
 

                
Immigrants population in the U.S. by country and region in 2017

Where does the immigrants come from?

Approximately half of immigrants living in the United States are from Mexico and other Latin American countries. Many Central Americans are fleeing because of desperate social and economic circumstances created in part by U.S. foreign policy in Central America over many decades.

 

        

Portion of family based immigrants vs other immigrants who are granted green cards

Currently, U.S. citizens can sponsor spouses, minor children, and parents without numerical limitations. Under capped categories, U.S. citizens can also sponsor adult children and siblings; and legal permanent residents (LPRs) can sponsor spouses, minor children, and adult unmarried children. Thus, family-based immigration comprises about two-thirds of the annual total.

 

            

Situation of immigrants

In many states, the income of immigrant families is not very different from that of non-immigrant families, though some individual earning is lower. This is because there are typically more workers per immigrant family. Although most immigrants are not poor, nationally 20 percent live below the poverty line, compared with 16 percent of native-born citizens. In 2017, there were 27.4 million children under age 18 living in low-income families (i.e., with family incomes below 200 percent of the federal poverty threshold). Of them, 8.8 million (or 32 percent) were children of immigrants. 

Immigrants poverty rate (%)



Immigrants unemployment rate (%)



Thirty-nine percent of immigrant workers are less likely to work in office and administrative support position and 31 percent less likely to work in management while 113 percent more are likely to work in construction. There are as many immigrants in white-collar jobs as in other occupations. In some state, over half of immigrants are in white-collar jobs. However, not all white-collar jobs are pay well. . 

The impact of RAISE act on immigrants



Family Separation

Firstly, the number of separated children in the USA should be examined. Although there are insufficient data on the Internet to show us the numbers of separated children in all the US states, we are still able to investigate the problem from the data that we could obtain. In the graph below, we can see that the southern part of the USA has more separated children than that in the other states, especially in Texas.

As the southern part of the USA contains a lot of immigrates from Mexico or some African countries, and a number of them are low-incomed, we can see that the number of separated children is related to the immigration problem and the income level. Children separating from families means they will become orphans and unable to receive a completed childhood, and effecting their future development.

The RAISE Act, which stops U.S. citizens from sponsoring their children and siblings into the U.S. would only increases the number of childeren and family being seperated.

Jobs and Economic Growth




Secondly, the impact on jobs and economic growth. The figure below shows a sharp decline in legal immigration after the enactment of RAISE Act. As the number of immigrantion decreases rapidly, it also reduces employment because the domestic worker participation rate won’t increase enough to fill the jobs that would have been held by immigrants who are no longer allowed in the country.

It is predicted that in its first year, under the RAISE Act, the U.S. project 92,537 fewer jobs. After 10 years, job losses increase to 1.3 million relative to current law. By 2040, 4.6 million jobs are lost. The RAISE Act would reduce the number immigrants per year while increasing the portion of new immigrants that are highly skilled.

We project that the RAISE Act will lead to less economic growth and fewer jobs than otherwise. Job losses emerge because domestic workers will not fill all the jobs that immigrant workers would have filled. While in the short run the RAISE Act leads to a small boost to per capita GDP, in the long run per capita GDP dips slightly. Gains in average wages are positive but small.



U.S. Government Financial Burden




Thirdly, decreasing family based immigrants meanwhile increasing the portion of professional immigrants could ease the financial burden of the U.S. government.

In 1965, the USA passed the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965, which greatly increased the total number of the immigrants moving into the USA, especially from Asia and Africa.

From the graph below, we can see that the healthcare expenditure had significantly increased after the year of 1965, and even had increased five times in compare to nowadays. This can easily be read as the immigrants increased the burden of the government, and people might start to label or even discriminate the immigrants as sponger to the USA. This could make the immigrants felt uncomfortable or even difficult to blend in with society. The RAISE Act could decrease the government healthcare expenditure to some extent by decreasing the total number of family-based immigrants whom are the major dependency of low cost healthcare services.